Fantasy Politics


Well world it is election time yet again, and dang it if it is not an entertaining one as well. I’ll start with the democrats (since there are so few) Hillary, Hillary, Hillary…. She has the Clinton name but the charisma seems to elude her. The current wipe gate scandal will be the end of her candidacy… Who will fill the vacuum? Bernie Sanders? No, although we are going further and further to the left, I don’t think anyone who admits they are a socialist will win. (Should have hid it Bernie… like everyone else) There is a lot of talk about Biden but I don’t think that could work. Losing Hillary will take some support from the feminist movement, and the last thing they need is a creepy old guy giving massages to young politicians wives. I have said for a while that Elizabeth Warren (Indian Outlaw) would run. I believe the only reason she hasn’t was because her and Hillary would split the female vote.

Republicans… They actually have some really good candidates this time around. The top three candidates are all outside of the political “norm” (i.e. establishment) The question is will they embrace one of these candidates or try to marginalize him/her? They may be willing to lose the presidency just to keep their chairs at the table. Trump is not going away. The media and the establishment are writhing. I have some concerns about Trump. I would however LOVE to be a fly on the wall watching him talk to Putin. I could possibly see a Trump/Cruz ticket. He has said that he would need a politician for VP, which would actually be pretty smart. Cruz is high in the polls and has not once said anything to cross Trump, which is also smart. Ben Carson has also done quite well. His drawback is that he is so soft spoken. I would also love to see a Ben Carson/Allen West ticket.
Jeb… Done
Rubio… Done
Walker… Done
Paul… Way Done
Christie…. Way Done
Santorum… Never started
Perry… Shouldn’t have even tried
Furina… Good but can’t get traction
Huckabee… Not quite done yet
Jindle… Never started
Cruz… This is interesting… Trump has really taken the role of vocal critic that Cruz was going to run with. A good tactic for Cruz is to keep going, avoid conflict with Trump, and follow him in. Right now Trump is really a big body shield from the media. They hate Cruz, but they hate Trump more. If the media can trip Trump, Cruz will get the Trump supporters.
Trump… Trump has a few advantages.. His larger than life persona, and inability to care what the PC crowd says or does really attracts a lot of people out there. He is famous and had many shows and appearances. He will get the TV vote. Some may not know or care about the issues and will vote for him because he is entertaining. I’m not busting on the guy, I like him. He is far better than any establishment contender.
Carson… Brilliant and great policies. As I mentioned, soft spoken. That will subconsciously effect the race for him. He really needs to hone his speaking skills.

Overall there is a great group of candidates on the right. I am actually confident that the establishment and the media will not be able to stick us with another pseudo conservative.

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Romney’s Debate Tactic


I watched the debate last night and found myself frustrated and confused.  I saw Romney taking shots and not responding in any way.  I saw him agreeing with nearly everything Obama said. 

I’m not sure if his tactic worked but I understand exactly what he was attempting to do.  It was the Muhammad Ali “Rope a dope” tactic.  Wether or not it was well executed will be decided in a couple of short weeks. 

Romney attempted to look Presidential. (and I think he did that)  He was also trying to seem conciliatory.  He was trying to show how he would work with others across the isle even when they are dead set against him. (eh maybe it worked)

Why?  This comes down to mathematics.  In a previous post I mentioned that many on the right are voting against Obama more than they are voting for Romney.  These votes are secure.  He was going after the independents/swing/undecided.  If he came out extremely right of Obama it would have stopped the momentum he is gaining with the middle.

Personally I do not care for the tactic.  To me it seems fake.  I want a candidate to be who he is ALL the time.  I know it will never happen, but wouldn’t it be nice.

GG

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job.

Douglas Adams, The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy

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What To Expect When Your Expecting a Good Debate…


 

English: President Barack Obama walks with Rus...

English: President Barack Obama walks with Russian President Dimitry Medvedev, left, and French President Nicolas Sarkozy at the NATO Summit in Lisbon, Portugal, Nov. 20, 2010. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Tonight is the third debate…

This should be a walk in the park for Romney.  All he has to do is point to a map and say “Obama point to the country that is not unhappy with us.”  Then point to a map of the Middle East and say, “Now point to the country that is not currently going through a shit storm.”

Debate won…

Obama does have the difficult tasks of: 1. Finding the aforementioned countries.  2.  Spinning the Arab Spring and the rest of the world as “Hunky dory”. 3. Keeping a straight face.

With things as they are, I honestly would not blame Obama if half way through the debate he throws down his mic and says “Screw this mess, you can have it.  Everyone, I would like to endorse Mitt Romney!”

Here are a few talking points that you will probably hear tonight:

Tit for Tat- Romney should say Lib ya as often as Obama says dub ya.

Not so fresh?- How is it that every country that fell during the Arab Spring happened to fall into the Muslim Brotherhoods hands? (You know that group on the terror watch list that Obama has conferred with on numerous occasions)

Piniata- The Fast and Furious gun running scheme has killed over 200 Mexican nationals and 2 US Border guards.

Pretty Slick- After the oil spill drilling in the Gulf was closed off unless you were a Brazilian or Chinese company.

Busted- Why on Earth would we: 1. Return the Bust of Winston Churchill? 2. Think that an iPod pre-loaded with Obama’s greatest speeches would be a good gift for the Queen of England? 3. Give DVD’s region coded for the US to the Queen? (Does she really need a copy of Turista that she can’t even watch?)

Watch the other hand- What really went on in Benghazi that you needed to cover up the terrorist attack with a lame YouTube video? (Hint running guns to Syrian rebels)

Mic check- Obama’s hot mic conversation with French President Sarkozy about how much they dislike Bibi.

Reset- Russia has repeatedly accused the US of trying to effect the outcome of their elections, and incite protests just like we did in Egypt, Libya, Syria, and Iran (wait… no we just left the Iranian people’s green revolution alone… wouldn’t want to meddle now would we…)

 

 

I’ll take a side of Apocalypse please-Iran. Nukes. Nuff said.

Israel who?- Went on Late nite show rather than meeting foreign dignitaries.

Obama’s talking points:

I got Osama.

They like me better than dub ya.

Who you gonna believe him or the guy with the Nobel Peace Prize?  See it even has Peace in it.  They don’t give these things away for nothing…

English: Nobel Peace Prize 2009, Barack Obama

English: Nobel Peace Prize 2009, Barack Obama (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

The leaders of Libya and Egypt were bad men so it makes sense that you would take them out so that worse ones can have a chance.

Fast and the Furious?  Loved the movie, but I think dub ya produced it.

Wave hand at audience and whisper “Romney is not the candidate you’re looking for,” Wait for the press corp to repeat in unison, then smile knowingly. (Subtle Star Wars reference. They occur on this blog often)

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The Great and Heralded Second Debate…


Tuesday night, my wife and I sat down to a peaceful evening yelling at the TV, throwing up arms in disbelief, pulling out of hair, and a nice Bordeaux.  Ok so I did all of those while she worked on homework and the Bordeaux was actually lemonade but you get the picture. 

If I look at last nights debate objectively, I would have to say that it probably didn’t really do anything for either side.  If anything it just diminished two underwhelming candidates.  Obama has been such a train wreck in the last four years that he can’t really excite his base, and Romney…  I don’t know anyone  let me say again ANYONE who said that Romney was their first choice.  Second or third is even difficult to muster.  If we are going to be honest, Romney is the anti-Obama choice.  America does not vote for Presidents anymore.  We vote for the least objectionable alternative. The right is only fired up for Romney because of their hope for anything but Obama.  To the right, Obama has been such a violation of American values and principles that they are willing to forgo some conservative values for a higher electability.  It reminds me of Benjamin Franklin’s quote, “Those who give up a little bit of liberty for security deserve and receive neither.”

Romney has lately seemed more Reaganesc, but I hear the words and I see a sharp dressed slick politician so I have a hard time buying it.  Hey, I hope I’m wrong but history is the best indicator of the future. 

All that being said, I feel that there were some missed opportunities for Romney.  (Yes I am one of those conservatives that is only fired up for Romney because he is the anti-Obama.  See above statements about liberty, security yada yada)  The entire discussion of the assault weapons ban could have been a huge home run for Romney.  Half way through Obama’s answer I was screaming “Fast and Furious!”.  Romney really should have started with that rather that the honorable mention he fleetingly gave at the end of his answer.  Over 200 Mexican nationals have died at the hands of the “lost weapons” from F&F and 2 of our Border Patrol agents.  A strong focus on Obama’s misuse of Executive Privilege would have seasoned the meal nicely.  F&F was an example of the White House getting caught trying to create a chrisis so they could come in and rescue us from ourselves with tighter gun control laws.

The Libya debacle was the White House trying to spin the video into calls for reductions in free speech.  It sounds hard to believe, but throughout the world (and another world called the UN)  There were calls to restrict Americas first amendment.  Pundits here in the US likened the video and other intolerant views to yelling FIRE in a theater.

Rather than having these ridiculous town hall debates, we should have the candidates submit peer reviewed fully cited essays on various topics.  Switch papers and check your neighbors.  Fact checks would be thoroughly conducted before papers are submitted to the public.  No late papers.

 

GG

 

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Zero Hedge Provides Yet Another Great Article


http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-10-14/top-15-economic-truth-documentaries

 

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Cartoon from 1948 Worth Your Time


 

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Social responsibility vs. Personal responsibility Repost


 In recent years there has been a large shift in our society.  We were once a society based on personal responsibility.  This was the primary ethic we strove to teach our children.  Slowly that focus has shifted toward teaching social responsibility.  This topic came to mind the other day when I noticed that when I speak to my liberal friends about crimes or tragedy they instinctively focus or make statements regarding the perpetrator.  It seems to soothe or calm them to find a reason for the action.  They will bend over backwards to find the “shades of grey” that justify the criminals actions.  Example:

Hey Liberal friend, did you hear about that guy who went to his workplace and shot up the place?  “Yeah, that was really sad.  He had just been fired and was having a hard time feeding his family.”

At which point I usually become frustrated,  Let me explain my stance.  Wrong is wrong and causation is irrelevant.  Also the sympathy is misplaced.  Shooting rampages are ALWAYS wrong.  The victims were the injured/dead, and their families not the shooter.  If I say it is wrong to steal, it immediately becomes a discussion of trying to find a circumstance that I would agree that it would be morally acceptable to steal.  (So far I have only agreed to lengthy plots involving someone kidnapping a loved one, I have no means of asking for help from the authorities, there is no means of communication between me and my victim that I may beg for their charity, and the end result of my theft would result in the greater good of mankind.  At this point I was tired of the scenarios and was agreeable just to end the conversation.) 

One of my liberal friends was telling me how impressed he was with his children’s school teaching social responsibility.  He said that his children are required to perform 20 hours of community service before they can graduate.  Here is my problem.  Who determines what is and is not community service?  Also, since this is a requirement, it is no longer charity.  The child is not learning to do something out of the goodness of their heart.  It is just forced labor.  The school is in essence requiring 20 hours of forced labor. 

The movement away from personal responsibility has been to societies demise.  Worrying about how to save the world especially at a young age can be overwhelming and disheartening.  Perhaps the real intent of this change is to break the spirit of the youth in America.  The American spirit has always been a driving factor in the success of our country. 

It is more important to learn how to be responsible for your own actions.  Social responsibility will grow out of personal responsibility.  You can not care for others if you do not first know how to care for yourself.  Further, when you truly learn to be responsible for yourself you learn it is in your best interest to be a good steward of others and the world around you.  Personal responsibility is the only way to teach true social cohesion.  Teaching Social responsibility is sort of  losing the forest for the trees.  When our children are not taught personal responsibility they experience life as what happened to them rather than what they accomplished.  Without personal responsibility you can never truly appreciate the rewards of accomplishment and you only experience life as a victim.  Entitlement is the end result.  Then with the focus on social responsibility each feels as if they are entitled to a perfect world without knowing how to accomplish anything.  Entitlement and accomplishment are polar opposites.  Entitlement results in fear and pain.  Accomplishment in happiness and productivity.  Since the founding of our country is has been the most successful.  I attribute that to our ability to take responsibility.  This social consciousness is very perverse in many ways.  Truly the most compassionate thing you can do for your fellow-man and society is to expect him to be responsible for himself.  New York, do you honestly expect me to believe that taking away table salt from restaurants is the socially responsible thing to do?  Liberals believe, or are trying to create a health epidemic in America.  Some believe that citizens are too stupid to feed themselves.  Apparently, there is a large segment of the population in New York that are so addicted to salt, that its mere presence requires them to pour copious amounts into their gullet.  Their saving grace is that they are too stupid to bring their drug of choice with them when dining out.  Personally I rarely put additional salt on my food, but who is the government to tell me I couldn’t if I so choose?  By expecting personal responsibility out of others and allowing people to fail you are helping them to learn to succeed on their own.  There are some who don’t get it, and never will.  Yes it is painful to watch people fail, but they and others learn from failure.  Failure is the key to success.  When you reward failure, or prevent it you are postponing or completely eliminating their future success.  When a person loses his/her job they can receive unemployment.  What is the purpose of unemployment?  To ease a persons burden in hard times and unfortunate circumstances?  Does this actually prolong the pain?  I have a friend who lost his job.  He is a very capable single guy with no one to take care of but himself.  He could have had a job in a month with less pay, and not necessarily what he would like to do, but it would keep him fed.  Instead my friend decided to stay on unemployment for a year.  He received the benefits to the full extent of the law at the time.  When he was no longer eligible, presto he had a job.  Who could blame him?  I would have done the same thing.  It is an inherent rule in nature that an organism seeks the maximum benefit with the least amount of effort.  That’s why predators go after the sick, young, and the old.  If I lost my job, I would use the benefit probably much in the same way, and delay my success.  If the benefit was not available, my kids and I would survive.  I would find creative ways to succeed.  No job would be beneath me.  Need me to scrub toilets?  Kids gotta eat.  Need me to flip burgers? Kids gotta eat.  Hell I would even take a job removing salt shakers from New York restaurants to keep my kids from going hungry.  (Trust me, for me that would be the hardest job possible.  I would need to shower immediately afterward)

Definitions of Social responsibility on the Web:

Quotes:

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job.” – Douglas Adams

No man was ever endowed with a right without being at the same time saddled with a responsibility.” – Gerald W. Johnson

No snowflake in an avalanche ever feels responsible.” – Stanislaw J. Lec

We must reject the idea that every time a law’s broken, society is guilty rather than the lawbreaker. It is time to restore the American precept that each individual is accountable for his actions.” – Ronald Reagan

I believe that every right implies a responsibility; every opportunity an obligation; every possession, a duty.” – John D. Rockefeller

The superior man blames himself. The inferior man blames others.” – Don Shula

Nothing happens by itself. It all will come your way, once you understand that you have to make it come your way, by your own exertions.” – Ben Stein

Provision for others is a fundamental responsibility of human life.” – Woodrow T. Wilson*  This quote is only put in here as an example of the Progressive/Liberal/Socialist mindset.  On the surface it sounds nice, but in implementation it is an impossible task that is seized on to collect power for the government.

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Are our current “Animal Spirits” Lemmings?


Keynesian theory says that the economy is inherently unstable and that Government intervention brings stability.  He believes that “Animal Spirits” guide the market.  We have bull markets and bear markets, but I propose our current market is more of a lemming blindly racing to jump off a cliff.  Traders on Wall St. have developed a grab what you can now/consequences be damned mentality.  As the Fed throws QE infinity in the market, the Traders are losing confidence.  The DOW appears to be going up, but it is only smoke and mirrors.  Each subsequent QE is having less and less of an impact.  The DOW growth is hollow.  Traders attempt to grab more and more free money that is increasing becoming worth less and less.  This allows Keynesians to point to the growth they appear to created.  All the traders know that eventually it will all have to end.  They are just trying to grab what they can while the can.  The big bet is when does this money bubble burst.  Watch the animal spirits.  All it will take is one or two large firms dropping out of the market.  Hell all they really need are rumors.  They will turn tail and run as the whole thing spirals out of control.

The fed initially stated that the market will crash and crash hard.  The purpose of the QE was to slow the crash so that it may be survivable.  In all actuality they should have been fostering and encouraging changes in the market for people and markets to hold and save.  Without encouraging austerity, QE only worked to kick the can down the road.  This road is on a steep hill gaining speed, and the can is getting bigger as it gains momentum.

In my last post I said that Keynesian economics is dying, and I believe it is.  However, it does not want to go down alone.  It will grasp for anything to be destroyed with it.  Right now it has its hands around the throat of freedom and liberty.  People think that is a crazy or outlandish statement.  unfortunately, it successful societies have come and gone throughout history, and true freedom and liberty have only existed for the last 236 years.  Shadows rise and fall.  We are not immune.

Ever Optimistic

GG

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The Death of Keynsian Economics


Sure it has been a while, but with the elections coming I thought it would be good to revive the blog. 

Had I mentioned the world had gone to hell in a handbasket?  Good news!  The sleeping giant seems to be awakening.  The general malaise has been replaced with a new hope.  Romney was never my first pick.  (not even second, third, or fourth) However, he has suddenly gained traction by channelling Ronald Reagan.  America was very responsive. 

Big government seems to have taken quite a blow.  America has awakened to find Portugal, Spain, Italy, and Greece don’t seem to have workable models of governance.  Many people are starting to realize that eventually someone will have to pay for this.  Many of the older generation don’t even want to face this reality while thirty something are pissed.  Even if we could avoid being the generation to pay for this, we would be the first to knowingly throw our children off the fiscal cliff.

John Maynard Keynes idea of the government stimulating the economy by spending, printing, then spending has never been so fully realized.  Our generation is the one who are now witnessing Keynesian economics in its death thralls.  Good riddance…

For a great entertaining view on the argument between Keynes(spend) and Hayek(laze fairre)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTQnarzmTOc

GG

 

 

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Cyberwar to defeat convential forces?


In the last blog post I wrote about my hypothesis on our downed stealth fleet.  It appears that cyber attacks on advanced weaponry will be the norm for the foreseeable future.  Today an article (attached below) showed that our unmanned drone fleet is currently having viral issues. 

http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2011/10/virus-hits-drone-fleet/

I suspect that Iran has announced plans to send a warship to US waters based on the cyber attack on its nuclear facilities.

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